The Arab spring and U.S national security

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Title: The Arab spring and U.S national security
Author: Johnson, William
Abstract: The manner in which the United States understands the background , motivations , and aspirations of the participants in the Arab Spring within the Maghreb Region will have significant implications for the development of future National Security Policy . In an effort to better quantify this understanding , this work presents an analysis of the following three alternative scenarios : 1 ) The Arab Spring leads to internal conflict and Regime Change of Pro American Ally , which is detrimental to U .S . National Security Interests ; 2 ) The Arab Spring leads to internal conflict and Regime Change of Anti -American regime , which produces a positive change in US National Security Interests ; and 3 ) The Arab Spring leads to a protracted civil war and national dismemberment , which harms US National Security Interests in the region . A thorough analysis of these three possibilities as led to a key realization . The relative stability of Algeria , Tunisia and Morocco is a definite positive aspect of the post -Arab Spring transition . However , there is still significant instability in Libya as well as Al Qaeda in the Maghreb’s (AQIM ) continued capability to operate from Mali and southern Algeria . This will make the Maghreb region a potential flash point in Arab -Western relations , and it therefore also makes the Maghreb a region of strategic interest to the United States .
URI: http : / /hdl .handle .net /2346 .1 /30020
Date: 2012-08-10


Johnson, William The Arab spring and U.S national security. Master's thesis, Angelo State University. Available electronically from http : / /hdl .handle .net /2346 .1 /30020 .

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